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The Hoosier Pulse: A survey of Political and Policy Insiders

A Hathaway Strategies - Bellwether Research Indiana Opinion Leader Survey Methodology and Topline Results at the end. Key Findings  Presidential Contest Before John Kasich announced he was suspending his Indiana campaign, 63% of Hoosier Pulse opinion leaders (Republicans, Democrats and independents) predicted Donald Trump will win the May 3rd Republican primary in Indiana, while 29% said Ted

Don’t count Trump supporters out on Election Day.

Those who have knowledge, don’t predict. Those who predict, don’t have knowledge.    Lao Tzu Old mantra: Donald Trump will implode. New mantra: Donald Trump’s supporters won’t show up at the polls. Who knows what will happen on February 1st, February 9th, February 20th, or in March. I can’t predict who will win the Republican nomination. I

GOP presidential debate observations

A few observations from last night's Republican presidential debate: Here is why Kasich and Bush's tussle with Trump over immigration was smart.  The deport them now crowd is locked in with Donald Trump and not going anywhere, while GOP voters who support a path to legal status are up for grabs - particularly in New

Donald Trump is just a vehicle, but he thinks it’s about him.

It's ME, ME, ME.  (Photo by Stephen Lovekin/Getty Images)Donald Trump calls people insulting names on a daily basis.  Not to play his game, but right now Donald Trump is a parasitic wasp attached to the Republican Party.  In this relationship, the host stays alive as long as the wasp needs it to survive, but

Family/Maternity Leave – the new battleground

In the 2014 election cycle, Democrats wanted to talk about birth control and abortion.  Their singular focus on reproductive issues didn't turn out well for them, but they are regrouping on women's issues to focus in 2016 on economic themes like family/maternity leave and income inequity.  These issues will only gain salience with Hillary

A campaign implosion captured by our social media research

The 2012 U.S. Senate contest in Indiana has been a toss up since the contentious May primary where Richard Mourdock ousted incumbent Senator Richard Lugar. The second and final Indiana U.S. Senate debate on October 23rd between Republican Richard Mourdock and Democrat Joe Donnelly was proceeding predictably with both candidates arguing that the other was